We initiate on QNS with a MARKET PERFORM rating, +6% total stock return.
We project a CAGR of 8% for net revenue and 6% for NPAT during FY16-21. We believe QNS needs successful new product launches to jump-start its soymilk growth, which we remain sceptical of given its recent track record. We forecast a FY16-21 CAGR of 8% for soymilk revenue and 4% for soymilk NPAT. Heavy investments in sugar and biomass dilute QNS’s consumer story.